Pavel Groisman

Pavel Groisman

Phone: 828.271.4347 Email: Orcid:


Pavel Ya. Groisman’s research interests include climatic variability, global change, parameterization of climatic processes using observational data, in situ observational network measurements (with a focus on precipitation, temperature, wind, and snow cover), and water balance studies. His core research topic has been studying the effects of climate change on the hydrological cycle.

Dr. Groisman has authored more than 145 journal articles and book chapters and has contributed to several Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment reports and a variety of other assessment activities. He was named an AGU Fellow in 2010 by the American Geophysical Union and was the 2016 winner of the AGU’s Edward A. Flinn, III Award. He is a member of the Russian Geographical Society, the American Geophysical Union, the American Meteorological Society, and the Canadian Geophysical Union.

Dr. Groisman earned his PhD in geophysics from the Russian Federation’s State Hydrological Institute and holds a Master’s degree in probability theory and mathematical statistics. He has worked at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (formerly the National Climatic Data Center) since 1991, serving as a U.S. National Research Council Senior Associate and UCAR Visiting/Project Scientist. He joined NCICS as a Visiting Research Scholar in September 2016.


Selected Publications, 2010-present


Chen, J., Z. Ouyang, R. John, G. M. Henebry, P. Y. Groisman, A. Karnieli, M. Kussainova, A. Amartuvshin, A. Tulobaev, E. T. Isabaevich, C. Crank, K. Kadhim, J. Qi, and G. Gutman, 2019: Chapter 10: Social-ecological systems across the Asian Drylands Belt (ADB). In: Landscape Dynamics of Drylands across Greater Central Asia: People, Societies and Ecosystems, G. Gutman, J. Chen, G. M. Henebry, and M. Kappas, Eds., Springer, 191-225.

Groisman, P. Y., O. N. Bulygina, G. M. Henebry, N. A. Speranskaya, A. I. Shiklomanov, Y. Chen, N. M. Tchebakova, E. I. Parfenova, N. D. Tilinina, O. G. Zolina, A. Dufour, J. Chen, R. John, and P. Fan, 2020: Chapter 2: Dry Land Belt of Northern Eurasia: Contemporary Environmental Changes. In: Landscape Dynamics of Drylands across Greater Central Asia: People, Societies and Ecosystems, G. Gutman, J. Chen, G. M. Henebry, and M. Kappas, Eds., Springer, 11-23.


Aidaraliev, A. A., G.M. Henebry, Q. Chi, P. Groisman, M. Tomaszewska, M.S. Baihodjoev, and K.A. Kelgenbaeva, 2019: Climatic impacts on mountainous livelihood in Kyrgyzstan. Proceedings of the International Conference Dedicated to the 15th Anniversary of the Foundation of CAIAG “Remote and Terrestrial Research of the Land in Central Asia”, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, 148-153.

Chen, Y., X. Fei, P. Groisman, Z. Sun, J. Zhang, and Z. Qin, 2019: Contrasting policy shifts influence the pattern of vegetation production and C sequestration over pasture systems: A regional-scale comparison in Temperate Eurasian Steppe. Agricultural Systems, 176, 102679.

Danilovich, I., S. Zhuravlev, L. Kurochkina, and P. Groisman, 2019: The Past and Future Estimates of Climate and Streamflow Changes in the Western Dvina River Basin. Frontiers in Earth Science, 7.

Liu X., Tang Q., Liu W, Yang H., Groisman P., Leng G, Ciais Ph., Zhang X. and Sun S. 2019: The asymmetric impact of abundant preceding rainfall on heat stress in low latitudes. Environmental Research Letters, 4, 044010.


Chen, J., R. John, G. Sun, P. Fan, G. M. Henebry, M. E. Fernández-Giménez, Y. Zhang, H. Park, L. Tian, P. Groisman, Z. Ouyang, G. Allington, J. Wu, C. Shao, A. Amarjargal, G. Dong, G. Gutman, F. Huettmann, R. Lafortezza, C. Crank, and J. Qi, 2018: Prospects for the sustainability of social-ecological systems (SES) on the Mongolian plateau: five critical issues. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 123004.

Fan P., Chen J., Ouyang Z., Groisman P., Loboda T., Gutman G., Prishchepov A., Kvashnina Anna., Messina J., Moore N., Myint S., and Qi J. 2018: Urbanization and sustainability under transitional economies: A synthesis for Asian Russia. Environmental Research Letters. 13, 095007.

Groisman, P., O. Bulygina, G. Henebry, N. Speranskaya, A. Shiklomanov, Y. Chen, N. Tchebakova, E. Parfenova, N. Tilinina, O. Zolina, A. Dufour, J. Chen, R. John, P. Fan, C. Matyas, I. Yesserkepova and I. Kaipov, 2018: Dryland belt of Northern Eurasia: contemporary environmental changes and their consequences. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 115008., and Supplementary information:

Soja, A., and P. Groisman, 2018: Earth science and the integral climatic and socio-economic drivers of change across northern Eurasia: The NEESPI legacy and future direction. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 040401.


Chen, Y., W. Ju, P. Groisman, J. Li, P. Propastin, X. Xu, W. Zhou, and H. Ruan, 2017: Quantitative assessment of carbon sequestration reduction induced by disturbances in temperate Eurasian steppe. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 115005.

Groisman, P., H. Shugart, D. Kicklighter, G. Henebry, N. Tchebakova, S. Maksyutov, E. Monier, G. Gutman, S. Gulev, J. Qi, A. Prishchepov, E. Kukavskaya, B. Porfiriev, A. Shiklomanov, T. Loboda, N. Shiklomanov, S. Nghiem, K. Bergen, J. Albrechtová, J. Chen, M. Shahgedanova, A. Shvidenko, N. Speranskaya, A. Soja, K. de Beurs, O. Bulygina, J. McCarty, Q. Zhuang, and O. Zolina, 2017: Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 4, 41.

Liu, X., Q. Tang, X. Zhang, P. Y. Groisman, S. Sun, H. Lu, and Z. Li, 2017: Spatially distinct effects of preceding precipitation on heat stress over eastern China. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 115010.

Monier, E., D. W. Kicklighter, A. P. Sokolov, Q. Zhuang, I. N. Sokolik, R. Lawford, M. Kappas, S. V. Paltsev, and P. Y. Groisman, 2017: A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 083001.

Partasenok, S., S. V. Povajnaya, E. V. Kamarouskaya, and P. Ya. Groisman. 2017: Peculiarities of precipitation near 0°C regime and freezing events occurrence over the territory of Belarus. Natural Resources, 2017, No. 1, 69-76. ISSN 1810-9810 (in Russian, with Belorussian and English abstracts).

Qi, J., X. Xin, R. John, P. Groisman, and J. Chen, 2017: Understanding livestock production and sustainability of grassland ecosystems in the Asian Dryland Belt. Ecological Processes, 6, 22.


Groisman, P. Ya., O. N. Bulygina, X. Yin, R. S. Vose, S. K. Gulev, I. Hanssen-Bauer, and E. Førland 2016: Recent changes in the frequency of freezing precipitation in North America and Northern Eurasia. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 045007.

Reid, Ph. C., R. E. Hari, G. Beaugrand, D. M. Livingstone, C. Marty, D. Straile, J. Barichivich, E. Goberville, R. Adrian, Y. Aono, R. Brown, J. Foster, P. Groisman, P. Helaouet, H.-H. Hsu, R. Kirby, J. Knight, A. Kraberg, J. Li, T.-T. Lo, R. B. Myneni, R. P. North, J. A. Pounds, T. Sparks, R.Stubi, Y. Tian, Karen H.Wiltshire, D. Xiao, and Z. Zhu, 2016: Global impacts of the 1980s regime shift. Global Change Biology, 22, 682–703.


Bulygina, O.N., Arzhanova, N. M, and P. Ya. Groisman, 2015: Icing Conditions over Northern Eurasia in Changing Climate. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 025003.

Chen, Y. Z., S. J. Mu, Zh. G. Sun, C. C. Gang, J. L. Li, J. Podarian, P. Y. Groisman, J. Chen, and S. W. Li, 2015: Grassland Carbon Sequestration Ability in China: A New Perspective from Terrestrial Aridity Zones. Rangeland Ecology & Management.

Cram, T. G. Compo, X. Yin, R. Allan, Ch. McColl, R. Vose, J. Whitaker, N. Matsui, L. Ashcroft, R. Auchmann, P. Bessemoulin, T. Brandsma, Ph. Brohan, M. Brunet, J. Comeaux, R. Crouthamel, B. Gleason, P. Groisman, H. Hersbach, Ph. Jones, T. Jonsson, S. Jourdain, Kelly, K. Knapp, A. Kruger, H. Kubota, G. Lentini, A. Lorrey, N. Lott, S. Lubker, J. Luterbacher, G. Marshall, M. Maugeri, C.J. Mock, H. Mok, O. Nordli, M. Rodwell, T. Ross, D. Schuster, L. Srnec, M. Valente, Z. Vizi, X. Wang, N. Westcott, J. Woollen, and S. Worley, 2015: The International Surface Pressure Databank version 2. Geoscience Data Journal, 2, 31-46.

Gang, C., W. Zhou, Z. Wang, Y. Chen, J. Li, J. Chen, J. Qi, I. Odeh, and P. Y. Groisman, 2015: Comparative Assessment of Grassland NPP Dynamics in Response to Climate Change in China, North America, Europe and Australia from 1981 to 2010. Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science, 201, 57–68.

Groisman, P. Y., G. Gutman, H. H. Shugart, S. K. Gulev, J. Qi, and Sh. Maksyutov, 2015: 10 Years of NEESPI Accomplishments and Future Plans Highlighted at Synthesis Workshop. GEWEX News, 25, No. 3, August 2015, 10-12.


Groisman, P., S. Gulev, and Sh. Maksyutov, 2014: Earth System Studies in Northern Eurasia, EOS, 95, 133-135.

Groisman, P. Ya., and R. Stewart, 2014: Cold/Shoulder Season Precipitation near 0°C; A Possible GEWEX/GHP Cross-Cut. GEWEX News, 24, No.s 1&2, February/May 2014. 27-29.

Groisman, P. Ya., E. G. Bogdanova, V. A. Alexeev, J. E. Cherry, and O. N. Bulygina, 2014: Impact of snowfall measurement deficiencies on quantification of precipitation and its trends over Northern Eurasia. Ice and Snow, 54, 29-43.

Partasenok, I. S., P. Ya. Groisman, R. S. Chekan, and V. I. Melnik, 2014: Winter cyclone frequency and following freshet streamflow formation on the rivers in Belarus.Environmental Research Letters, 9, 095005.

Schubert, S., H. Wang, R. Koster, M. Suarez, and P. Groisman, 2014: Northern Eurasian Heat Waves and Droughts. Journal of Climate, 27, 3169-3207.

Zolina, O.G., C. Simmer, A. Kapala, P. Shabanov, P. Becker, H. Mächel, S. K. Gulev, and P. Ya. Groisman, 2014: Precipitation variability and extremes in Central Europe: New view from STAMMEX Results. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, 995-1002.


Groisman and Gutman (eds), 2013: Environmental Changes in Siberia: Regional Changes and their Global Consequences. Springer, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 357 pp.

Groisman, P. Ya., G. Gutman, A. Z. Shvidenko, K. M. Bergen, A. A. Baklanov, and P. W. Stackhouse Jr., 2013: Introduction: Regional Features of Siberia. Chapter1, 1-17. In: Groisman and Gutman (eds), 2013: Environmental Changes in Siberia: Regional Changes and their Global Consequences. Springer, 357 pp.

Groisman, P. Ya., E. P. Gordov, and Sh. Maksyutov, 2013: Current Status and Future Earth System Studies in Northern Eurasia (Northern Eurasia Earth Science Partnership Initiative (NEESPI) Conference and Workshop; Petrozavodsk, Russia, 1–5 September 2013). EOS, 94, 508.

Groisman, P. Ya., R. W. Knight, and O. G. Zolina, 2013: Recent trends in regional and global extreme precipitation patterns. Chapter 5.03 (pages25-55). In Pielke, R. Sr., Hossain F. (eds) Climate Vulnerability: Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources. Volume 5, Vulnerability of Water Resources to Climate. Elsevier Publishing House, ISBN 978-0-12-384703-4. 1440 pp.

Groisman, P.Ya., T. A. Blyakharchuk, A. V. Chernokulsky, M. M. Arzhanov, L. Belelli Marchesini, E. G. Bogdanova, I. I. Borzenkova, O. N. Bulygina, A. A. Karpenko, L. V. Karpenko, R. W. Knight, V.Ch. Khon, G. N. Korovin, A. V. Meshcherskaya, I. I. Mokhov, E. I. Parfenova, V. N. Razuvaev, N. A. Speranskaya, N. M. Tchebakova, and N. N. Vygodskaya, 2013: Climate changes in Siberia. Ch. 3, 57-109. In: Groisman and Gutman (eds), 2013: Environmental Changes in Siberia: Regional Changes and their Global Consequences. Springer, 357 pp.

Gutman, G., P. Ya. Groisman, E. P. Gordov, A. I. Shiklomanov, N. I. Shiklomanov, A. Z. Shvidenko, K. M. Bergen, and A. A. Baklanov, 2013: Summary and Outstanding Scientific Challenges for Research of Environmental Changes in Siberia. Ch. 9, 347-354. In: Groisman and Gutman (eds), 2012: Environmental Changes in Siberia: Regional Changes and their Global Consequences. Springer, 357 pp.

Karl, T. R., B. E. Gleason, M. J. Menne, J. R. McMahon, R. R. Heim, Jr., M. J. Brewer, K. E. Kunkel, D. S. Arndt, J. L. Privette, J. J. Bates, P. Y. Groisman, and D. R. Easterling, 2012: U.S. temperature and drought: Recent anomalies and trends. EOS, 93, 473-474.

Kunkel, K. E., T. R. Karl, H. Brooks, J. Kossin, J. H. Lawrimore, D. Arndt, L. Bosart, D. Changnon, S. L. Cutter, N. Doesken, K. Emanuel, P. Ya. Groisman, R. W. Katz, T. Knutson, J. O'Brien, C. J. Paciorek, T. C. Peterson, K. Redmond, D. Robinson, J. Trapp, R. Vose, S. Weaver, M. Wehner, K. Wolter, and D. Wuebbles, 2013: Monitoring and understanding changes in extreme storm statistics: State of Knowledge. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 499-514.

Qi, J., P. Ya. Groisman, and L. Ai, 2013: NEESPI and MAIRS Programs in the Dryland East Asia. Ch. 2, in J. Chen, S. Wan, G. Henebry, J. Qi, G. Gutman, Ge Sun, and M. Kappas (eds.) Dryland East Asia: Land Dynamics amid Social and Climate Change. Berlin: De Gryter Publ. House and Beijing; Higher Education Press, Oct. 2013. 496 pp. ISBN: 978-3-11-028791-2.

Qi, J., P. Ya. Groisman, and X. Xin, 2013: Protection of Grasslands in East Asia. EOS, 94, 364.

Qi, J., T. S. Bobushev, R. Kulmatov, P. Groisman, and G. Gutman, 2012: Addressing global change challenges for Central Asian socio-ecosystems. Frontiers of Earth Science, 6, 115-121.

Soja, A. J., and P. Ya. Groisman, 2012: Northern Eurasia Earth Science Partnership Initiative: Evolution of scientific investigations to applicable science. Environmental Research Letters, 7, 045201.

Shi, X., P. Ya. Groisman, S. J. Déry, and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2013: Relationships between recent pan-Arctic snow cover and hydroclimatic changes. Journal of Climate, 26, 2048-2064.


Groisman, P. Ya. and V. I. Lyalko (eds.), 2012: Earth Systems Change over Eastern Europe. Akademperiodyka, Kiev, The Ukraine, 488 pp. ISBN 978-966-360-195-3.

Groisman, P. Ya., A. Reissell, and M. Kaukolehto (eds.) 2012: Proceedings of the Northern Eurasian Earth Science Partnership Initiative (NEESPI) Regional Science Team Meeting devoted to the High Latitudes. Report Series in Aerosol Science, No. 130, Helsinki, Finland, 153 pp.

Groisman, P. Ya., R. W. Knight, and T. R. Karl. 2012: Changes in intense precipitation over the Central U.S., Journal of Hydrometeorology, 13, 47-66.

Tang, Q., G. Leng, and P. Ya. Groisman, 2012: European hot summers associated with a reduction of cloudiness. Journal of Climate, 25, 3637-3644. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00040.1


Groisman, P. Y., Gutman, G., and Reissell A., 2011: Chapter 1. Introduction: Climate and Land-Cover Changes in the Arctic, In: Gutman, G. and A. Reissell (eds.) >Arctic land cover and land use in a changing climate: Focus on Eurasia. VI, Springer, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 306 pp.

Compo, G. P., J. S. Whitaker, P. D. Sardeshmukh, N. Matsui, R. J. Allan, X. Yin, B. E. Gleason, R. S. Vose, G. Rutledge, P. Bessemoulin, S. Brönnimann, M. Brunet, R. I. Crouthamel, A. N. Grant, P. Y. Groisman, P. D. Jones, M. Kruk, A. C. Kruger, G. J. Marshall, M. Maugeri, H. Y. Mok, Ø. Nordli, T. F. Ross, R. M. Trigo, X. L. Wang, S. D. Woodruff, and S. J. Worley, 2011: The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137, 1-28.

Palecki, M. A., and P. Ya. Groisman, 2011: Observing Climate at High Elevations Using United States Climate Reference Network Approaches, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 1137-1143.

Bulygina, O. N., P. Ya. Groisman , V. N. Razuvaev, and N. N. Korshunova, 2011: Changes in Snow Cover Characteristics over Northern Eurasia since 1966. Environmental Research Letters, 6, 045204.

Shi, X., P. Ya. Groisman, S. J. Déry, and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2011: The role of surface energy fluxes in pan-Arctic snow cover changes. Environmental Research Letters., 6, 035204.

Walsh, J. E., J. E. Overland, P. Y. Groisman, and B. Rudolf, 2011: Ongoing Climate Change in the Arctic. Ambio, 40, Suppl. 1, 6-16.

Callaghan, T. V., M. Johansson, R. D. Brown, P. Ya. Groisman, N. Labba, V. Radionov, and Co-Authors, 2011: The changing face of Arctic snow cover: A synthesis of observed and projected changes. Ambio, 40, Suppl. 1, 17-31.

Callaghan, T. V., M. Johansson, R. D. Brown, P. Ya. Groisman, N. Labba, V. Radionov, and Co-Authors, 2011: Multiple effects of changes in Arctic snow cover. Ambio 40, Suppl. 1, 32-45.


Bulygina, O. N., P. Ya. Groisman, V. N. Razuvaev, and V. F. Radionov, 2010: Snow cover basal ice layer changes over Northern Eurasia since 1966, Environmental Research Letters, 5, 015004.

Zhang, X., J. Wang, F. W. Zwiers, and P. Ya. Groisman, 2010: The influence of large scale climate variability on winter maximum daily precipitation over North America. Journal of Climate, 23, 2902-2915.

Rawlings, M.A. and 29 Co-Authors, 2010: Analysis of the Arctic System for Freshwater Cycle Intensification: Observations and Expectations. Journal of Climate, 23, 5715-5737.

Groisman, P.Ya., 2010: Changes in intense precipitation over the central U.S.: Manifestation of global climate change, regional land use, or both? AGU Hydrological Section NewsLetter, July 10, 2010.