Simulated Annual Mean Temperature: Contiguous U.S.; CMIP3 and CMIP5
Simulated annual mean temperature (°F) for the contiguous U.S. for 1900–2100. The upper panel shows observations from NCEI’s Climate Divisional Dataset (nClimDiv, orange), multi-model mean simulations from CMIP3 for the historical period (black), and under the SRES B1 (blue), A1B (green), and A2 (red) scenarios. The lower panel shows observations from NCEI’s Climate Divisional Dataset (nClimDiv, orange), multi-model mean simulations from CMIP5 for the historical period (black), and under the RCP2.6 (dark teal), 4.5 (light teal), 6.0 (yellow), and 8.5 (dark red) scenarios. Shaded areas represent the smoothed range of 5th–95th percentile range of the model simulations. Data are smoothed with a 10-year moving boxcar average.