Carl Schreck

Carl Schreck

Tropical climate variability Phone: +1 828.257.3140 Email: cjschrec@ncsu.edu Orcid: http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9331-5754 Highlights 2015

Biography

Dr. Schreck investigates tropical weather and its impacts around the globe. He is particularly interested in identifying and predicting the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and equatorial waves. Dr. Schreck engages with partners in private industry to explore how these systems can improve long-range forecasts of weather risk over the United States, including hurricanes, extreme precipitation, and extreme temperatures. He also partners with forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and National Hurricane Center to improve extended forecasts of tropical cyclogenesis and tropical rainfall. One of his passions is assessing and reducing uncertainties in the historical tropical cyclone best tracks, including through the CycloneCenter.org citizen science project.

Dr. Schreck joined NCICS in August 2010 after completing his Ph.D. at the University at Albany. He serves as a Research Assistant Professor with the NCSU’s Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences and as an Adjunct Associate Professor with NC A&T. He is a co-editor of the annual “State of the Climate” and “Explaining Extreme Events” reports for the Bulletin of the Atmospheric Sciences.

Publications

2017

Semunegus, H., A. Mekonnen, and C. J. Schreck, III, 2017: Characterization of convective systems and their association with African easterly waves. International Journal of Climatology, In press. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5085

2016

Bell, J. E., S. C. Herring, L. Jantarasami, C. Adrianopoli, K. Benedict, K. Conlon, V. Escobar, J. Hess, J. Luvall, C. P. Garcia-Pando, D. Quattrochi,J. Runkle, and C. J. Schreck, III, 2016: Ch. 4: Impacts of Extreme Events on Human Health.The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment, U.S. Global Change Research Program, 99–128. http://dx.doi.org/10.7930/J0BZ63ZV

Diamond, H. J., and C. J. Schreck, 2016: The tropics [in “State of the Climate in 2015”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, S93-S130. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2016BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Herring, S. C., A. Hoell, M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, C. J. Schreck, III, and P. A. Stott, Eds., 2016: Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective. Vol. 97, S1–S145 pp., https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/

Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. D. Leeper, and C. J. Schreck, III, 2016: The relationship between the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 1355-1362. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0434.1

Schreck, C. J., 2016: Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and Tropical Cyclogenesis in a semi-Lagrangian framework. Monthly Weather Review. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0237.1

2015

Schreck, C. J., III, S. Bennett, J. M. Cordeira, J. Crouch, J. Dissen, A. L. Lang, D. Margolin, A. O’Shay, J. Rennie, and M. J. Ventrice, 2015: Natural gas prices and the extreme winters of 2011/12 and 2013/14: Causes, indicators, and interactions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, S93-S96. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00237.1

Schreck, C. J., III, 2015: Kelvin waves and tropical cyclogenesis: A global survey. Monthly Weather Review, 143. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0111.1

Hennon, C. C., K. R. Knapp, C. J. Schreck, III, S. E. Stevens, J. P. Kossin, P. W. Thorne, P. A. Hennon, M. C. Kruk, J. Rennie, J.-M. Gadéa, M. Striegl, and I. Carley, 2015: Cyclone Center: Can citizen scientists improve tropical cyclone intensity records? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 591-607. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00152.1

Schreck, C. J., III, K. R. Knapp, and J. P. Kossin, 2015: The impact of best track discrepancies on global tropical cyclone climatologies using IBTrACS. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 3881-3899, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00021.1. Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00021.1

2014

Kruk, M. C., C. J. Schreck, III, and T. Evans, 2014: [The Tropics] Eastern North Pacific basin [in "State of the Climate in 2013"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, J. Blunden, and D. S. Arndt, Eds., American Meteorological Society, S90-S92. Available online at: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2014BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Peng, G., J.-R. Bidlot, H. P. Freitag, and C. J. Schreck, III, 2014: Directional bias of TAO daily buoy wind vectors in the Central Equatorial Pacific Ocean from November 2008 to January 2010. Data Science Journal, 13, 79-87, doi:10.2481/dsj.14-019. Available online at: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/dsj/13/0/13_14-019/_article

2013

Gottschalck, J., P. E. Roundy, C. J. Schreck, III, A. Vintzileos, and C. Zhang, 2013: Large-scale atmospheric and oceanic conditions during the 2011Ð12 DYNAMO field campaign. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 4173-4196, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00022.1. Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00022.1

Kruk, M. C., C. J. Schreck, III, and R. Tanabe, 2013: [The Tropics] Eastern North Pacific basin [in "State of the Climate in 2012"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, S89ÐS92, doi:10.1175/2013BAMSStateoftheClimate.1. Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2013BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Schreck, C. J., III, J. M. Cordeira, and D. Margolin, 2013: Which MJO events affect North American temperatures? Monthly Weather Review, 141, 3840-3850, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00118.1. Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00118.1

Schreck, C. J., III, L. Shi, J. P. Kossin, and J. J. Bates, 2013: Identifying the MJO, equatorial waves, and their impacts using 32 years of HIRS upper-tropospheric water vapor. Journal of Climate, 26, 1418-1431, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00034.1. Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00034.1

Shi, L., C. J. Schreck, III, and V. O. John, 2013: An improved HIRS upper tropospheric water vapor dataset and its correlations with major climate indices. Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 12, 33411-33442, doi:10.5194/acpd-12-33411-2012. Available online at: http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/12/33411/2012/

Ventrice, M. J., M. C. Wheeler, H. H. Hendon, C. J. Schreck, III, C. D. Thorncroft, and G. N. Kiladis, 2013: A modified multivariate MaddenÐJulian Oscillation index using velocity potential. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 4197-4210, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00327.1. Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00327.1

2012

Ventrice, M. J., C. D. Thorncroft, and C. J. Schreck, 2012: Impacts of convectively coupled Kelvin waves on environmental conditions for Atlantic tropical cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2198–2214, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00305.1.

Kruk, M. C., C. J. Schreck, and Hennon, Paula A., 2012: [The Tropics] Eastern North Pacific basin [in “State of the Climate in 2011”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, S105–S107, doi:10.1175/2012BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.

Aiyyer, A., A. Mekonnen, and C. J. Schreck, 2012: Projection of tropical cyclones on wavenumber-frequency filtered equatorial waves. J. Climate, 25, 3653–3658, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00451.1.

Schreck, C. J., J. Molinari, and A. Aiyyer, 2012: A global view of equatorial waves and tropical cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 774-788, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00110.1.

2011

Schreck, C. J., and J. Molinari, 2011: Tropical cyclogenesis associated with Kelvin waves and the Madden–Julian oscillation, Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2723-2734, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-10-05060.1.

Schreck, C. J., J. Molinari, and K. I. Mohr, 2011: Attributing tropical cyclogenesis to equatorial waves in the western North Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci.68, 195-209, doi:10.1175/2010JAS3396.1.

2009

Schreck, C. J., and J. Molinari, 2009: A case study of an outbreak of twin tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev.137, 863-875, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2541.1.

Roundy, P. E., and C. J. Schreck, 2009: A combined wave-number–frequency and time-extended EOF approach for tracking the progress of modes of large-scale organized tropical convection. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.135, 161-173, doi:10.1002/qj.356.

Roundy, P. E., C. J. Schreck, and M. A. Janiga, 2009: Contributions of convectively coupled equatorial Rossby waves and Kelvin waves to the real-time multivariate MJO Indices. Mon. Wea. Rev.137, 469-478, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2595.1.

2004

Schreck, C. J., and F. H. M. Semazzi, 2004: Variability of the recent climate of eastern Africa. Int. J. Climatol., 24, 681-701, doi:10.1002/joc.1019.

Presentations

2016

Schreck, C. J., III, 2016: Kelvin Waves and Tropical Cyclogenesis in a Lagrangian Framework. NASA Precipitation Measurement Mission Science Team Meeting, Baltimore, MD, 13–15 July, 2015.

Schreck, C. J., III, 2016: Kelvin Waves and Tropical Cyclogenesis in a Lagrangian Framework. Fourth Symposium on the Madden–Julian Oscillation, New Orleans, LA, 10-14 January, 2016.

Schreck, C. J., III, J. Rennie, L. Watkins, K. Dobeck, and D. Podowitz, 2016: Scale-Dependent Relationships Between U.S. Temperatures and Teleconnections. Fourth Symposium on the Madden–Julian Oscillation, New Orleans, LA.

2015

Hennon, C. C., S. E. Stevens, C. J. Schreck, K. R. Knapp, and J. P. Kossin, 2015: Cyclone Center: A crowd sourcing application of the HURSAT-B1 data record. 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, Phoenix, AZ, 4-8 January 2015,.

Schreck, C. J., III, 2015: Natural gas prices and the extreme winters of 2011/12 and 2013/14. Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy, Phoenix, AZ, 4-8 January 2015.

Schreck, C. J., III, 2015: Improving agricultural forecasts with large satellite datasets. Data4Decisions Conference, Raleigh, NC, 24-26 March 2015.

Schreck, C. J., III, and J. P. Kossin, 2015: A global survey of Kelvin waves and tropical cyclogenesis. Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden–Julian Oscillation, Phoenix, AZ, 4-8 January 2015.

Schreck, C. J., III, H.-T. Lee, and K. Knapp, 2015: A new daily OLR dataset for identifying the MJO and tropical waves. Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Phoenix, AZ, 4-8 January 2015.

Schreck, C. J., III, P. Thorne, C. C. Hennon, K. R. Knapp, S. E. Stevens, J. P. Kossin, J. Rennie, P. A. Hennon, and M. C. Kruk, 2015: Cyclone Center: Insights on historical tropical cyclones from citizen volunteers. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, 14 -18 December, 2015.

2014

Hennon, C. C., K. R. Knapp, C. J. Schreck, S. E. Stevens, J. P. Kossin, P. W. Thorne, P. A. Hennon, M. C. Kruk, and J. Rennie, 2014: Toward a homogeneous global tropical cyclone intensity record. 31st Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, San Diego, CA, 31 March-4 April, 2014.

Hennon, C. C., J. Rennie, C. J. Schreck, S. E. Stevens, P. A. Hennon, K. R. Knapp, J. P. Kossin, P. W. Thorne, and M. C. Kruk, 2014: Cyclone Center: Using citizen science to reconcile global tropical cyclone intensity. Eighth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-VIII), Jeju, Republic of Korea, 2-10 December 2014.

Schreck, C. J., III, and J. P. Kossin, 2014: A global survey of Kelvin waves and tropical cyclogenesis. 31st Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, San Diego, CA, 31 March-4 April 2014.

Schreck, C. J., III, H.-T. Lee, and K. Knapp, 2014: A new daily OLR dataset for identifying the MJO and tropical waves. 39th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, St. Louis, MO, 20-23 October 2014.