Observed and Simulated Annual Mean Temperature: Regional; CMIP3 vs CMIP5

Observed and Simulated Annual Mean Temperature: Regional; CMIP3 vs CMIP5

Observed and simulated annual mean temperature (°F) for the six contiguous U.S. NCA regions for 1901–2000. Observational data are from NCEI’s Climate Divisional Dataset (nClimDiv, black); simulations are multi-model means from CMIP3 (blue) and CMIP5 (red). Shaded areas represent the smoothed range of 5th–95th percentile range of the model simulations. Data are smoothed with a 10-year moving boxcar average. Note: these time series are on unique scales for each region.

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