Observed and Simulated Mean Temperature: Contiguous U.S.: CMIP5 Full Forcings vs Natural Forcings On

Observed and Simulated Mean Temperature: Contiguous U.S.: CMIP5 Full Forcings vs Natural Forcings On

Observed and simulated annual mean temperature (°F) for the contiguous U.S. for 1901–2000. Observational data are from NCEI’s Climate Divisional Dataset (nClimDiv, black); simulations are CMIP5 multi-model means using full forcings (red) and natural forcings only (gray). Shaded areas represent the 5th–95th percentile range of the model simulations.

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