Simulated Decadal Mean Change in Seasonal Precipitation: Southwest U.S.
Model Distributions for CMIP5 RCP8.5
Model distributions of simulated decadal mean change in seasonal precipitation (%) for the
Southwest United States, for each future decadal time period (represented by their approximate midpoints,
e.g., 2015 = 2011–2020), with respect to the reference period of 2001–2010. Values are given for each of the
CMIP5 RCP scenario. Each individual model is represented by a plus sign (+), with circles depicting the
multi-model means. These symbols are shown in color if the value is statistically significant at the 95%
confidence level. Dashed lines indicate the 10th and 90th percentiles of observed precipitation anomaly
values from 1981–2010.